Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.954346 1.076616 1.210159 1.367097 1.546805 1.746534 1.985850
2024-12-22 0.756091 0.918528 1.110965 1.356835 1.664159 2.037598 2.528756
2024-12-29 0.655303 0.836395 1.062966 1.369397 1.776283 2.302535 3.042048
2025-01-05 0.572365 0.759763 1.004657 1.351419 1.835076 2.493559 3.471300
2025-01-12 0.511816 0.702525 0.961225 1.342353 1.897234 2.687545 3.919872
2025-01-19 0.448054 0.632616 0.891012 1.284776 1.879546 2.760370 4.193739
2025-01-26 0.417874 0.606272 0.878214 1.306471 1.977074 3.009143 4.761436
2025-02-02 0.393044 0.584717 0.869302 1.331381 2.079754 3.273996 5.384994
2025-02-09 0.367879 0.559917 0.852485 1.341058 2.157379 3.504675 5.977829
2025-02-16 0.344992 0.536331 0.834915 1.346818 2.227564 3.728285 6.584006
2025-02-23 0.328686 0.521567 0.829643 1.371527 2.331025 4.018097 7.345092
2025-03-02 0.302570 0.488614 0.791754 1.336848 2.326303 4.114208 7.751909
2025-03-09 0.289929 0.477422 0.789796 1.365551 2.440303 4.443289 8.666179
2025-03-16 0.270553 0.453305 0.763871 1.349094 2.469328 4.616192 9.291243
2025-03-23 0.257855 0.439624 0.754748 1.361995 2.554473 4.905910 10.199589
2025-03-30 0.241651 0.418464 0.730525 1.344097 2.577123 5.072281 10.862700
2025-04-06 0.228191 0.401204 0.711939 1.335087 2.616153 5.275782 11.637256
2025-04-13 0.209363 0.372789 0.670620 1.277853 2.550294 5.249783 11.874394
2025-04-20 0.202335 0.365784 0.668921 1.299419 2.651517 5.596367 13.053140
2025-04-27 0.196164 0.359920 0.668876 1.324180 2.761883 5.975738 14.371748
2025-05-04 0.188624 0.350876 0.661915 1.333800 2.839706 6.289494 15.572182
2025-05-11 0.181168 0.341474 0.653514 1.339525 2.909154 6.591401 16.789446
2025-05-18 0.176183 0.336608 0.653844 1.364087 3.024371 7.017046 18.414371